Keeping it Real Podcast with Dr. Kuehl American Supply Association

Season 4, Episode 1: Welcome back to a new season of Keeping it Real with Dr. Kuehl. This week Dr. Kuehl talks about the recent topic regarding jobs and what we can expect for employment going into 2024.
ASA Chief Economist Dr. Chris Kuehl is back with his weekly economic update podcast. In Season 4, Episode 1 (8:16 in length), Dr. Kuehl talks about employment – regarding what we saw in 2023 and what we can expect in 2024.      
What data was released just this morning (Jan 5th, 2024) regarding employment numbers?    Transportation is very active – what contributions does this have to jobs?The unemployment rate is still low, what does this mean for 2024?    Good news and bad news?    Employers are not thrilled with unemployment rates – why?  Wages continue to accelerate faster than inflation… what is the downside?     Double edge sword – what are both ends?      What will we see ALL year when it comes to wages?     Will we see more layoff activity?    Will ASA members be affected by any of this??    What should ASA members be on the lookout for?
Ask Dr. Kuehl a Question
Have a question or topic for Chris Kuehl that you would like answered on this podcast? Email it to Bri Baresel at bbaresel@asa.net.

Season 4, Episode 2: Welcome back to Keeping it Real with Dr. Kuehl. This week Dr. Kuehl answers a member question from his latest ASA monthly economic webinar regarding the energy sector.
ASA Chief Economist Dr. Chris Kuehl is back with his weekly economic update podcast. In Season 4, Episode 2 (7:28 in length), Dr. Kuehl answers a member question “Do you have any data for alternative energy (I.e. natural gas reclamation) projects?”    
What significant changes are taking place as far as the energy sector is concerned?      Reclamation and new & improved technologies… how do they relate?     What drives the conversation on alternative energy vs. fossil fuels?      What is the most significant change when it comes to energy?    How would oil producers adapt to changes? Has anything changed?    Will we see oil prices stabilize? No matter what happens this year??       What drives alternative energy prices?   Where is the alternative energy index vs. where the fossil fuel index is at?
Ask Dr. Kuehl a Question
Have a question or topic for Chris Kuehl that you would like answered on this podcast? Email it to Bri Baresel at bbaresel@asa.net.

Season 4, Episode 3: Welcome back to Keeping it Real with Dr. Kuehl. This week Dr. Kuehl was out of office, so second commander in chief, Keith Prather filled in, and answered a member question regarding the impact of the Red Sea on the global supply chain activity.
In Season 4, Episode 3 (6:45 in length), Keith Prather answers a member question in regards to the Red Sea and will it boost rates for shipping and will we feel this impact in the global supply chain. Are we seeing what we saw in 2021 and 2022?
What is the fear of the global supply chain shutdown?    Globally, why are we in shock? What is the impact when it comes to rates and cost of shipments?   The drone strike in the last 10 days… what are the challenges of moving shipments in and out?How long will it take to fix this transit time? Q2, Q3?     25% of global capacity has been stripped… where is the impact being felt?     Even though this does not affect the U.S. directly, why should we be concerned?      What does clean tanker activity mean and why does it matter? What do we need to do as distributors?
Ask Dr. Kuehl a Question
Have a question or topic for Chris Kuehl that you would like answered on this podcast? Email it to Bri Baresel at bbaresel@asa.net.

Season 4, Episode 4: Welcome back to Keeping it Real with Dr. Kuehl. This week Dr. Kuehl talks about the issue of how inaccurate economists can be when it comes to the economy. The big question is: Why??
ASA Chief Economist Dr. Chris Kuehl is back with his weekly economic update podcast. In Season 4, Episode 4 (8:31 in length), Dr. Kuehl talks about the big why on the inaccuracy when it comes to economists forecasting the economy.     
What were economists getting wrong in 2023?Why are the expectations so different than the outcome?     Why do we see economic data in a negative position, but we always seem to escape it?How is the economy reacting??   Rerouting due to the Red Sea… what does this have to do with the automotive sector?? Labor supply issues… a chronic issue, but no action to deal with it?How do we keep these issues from reoccurring each year?How do we become more preventative? Why is this challenging for our industry?What will happen to the economy with new congress & political figures this year?Is there still enough health in the economy to continue to grow?
Ask Dr. Kuehl a Question
Have a question or topic for Chris Kuehl that you would like answered on this podcast? Email it to Bri Baresel at bbaresel@asa.net.

Season 4, Episode 5: Welcome back to Keeping it Real with Dr. Kuehl. This week Dr. Kuehl talks about inflation.
ASA Chief Economist Dr. Chris Kuehl is back with his weekly economic update podcast. In Season 4, Episode 5 (8:23 in length), Dr. Kuehl talks about the latest inflation news. What does it mean, and what does it not mean?   
Why were inflation numbers higher than expected? All kinds of inflation, what do they each mean? Core inflation? Headline inflation?     What do the Fed’s pay attention to?What are the two assumptions when it comes to inflation?  Where are PCE numbers at? Is this where the Fed wants it to be?What does the slight increase in inflationnumbers this week really mean?    The labor shortage – has it contributed at all?What scares the Fed??       Will the Fed lower rates in the second half of the year? Even if these inflation numbers continue to rise??     What affects ASA members the most with these reactions?
Ask Dr. Kuehl a Question
Have a question or topic for Chris Kuehl that you would like answered on this podcast? Email it to Bri Baresel at bbaresel@asa.net.

Season 4, Episode 6: Welcome back to Keeping it Real with Dr. Kuehl. This week Dr. Kuehl responded to a few membership questions.
ASA Chief Economist Dr. Chris Kuehl is back with his weekly economic update podcast. In Season 4, Episode 6 (5:58 in length), Dr. Kuehl answers some member questions on the topic of consumer trends, and the question of a recession in the second quarter.
Are we seeing a return to a more frugal consumer?      The consumer numbers for the start of 2024, how are they?Is the consumer slowing down? Are they aware of the debt they are carrying?      What does the consumer look at? When is there a worry / impact / reaction? When does consumer spending start to slow down in the year?    Will there be a recession in the second quarter?    Are we doing anything that will suggest a recession at ALL this year?      Are we still seeing all the drivers of the economy robust and strong?      What are the four drivers / pillars of the economy?
Ask Dr. Kuehl a Question
Have a question or topic for Chris Kuehl that you would like answered on this podcast? Email it to Bri Baresel at bbaresel@asa.net.